
US Equity Index Income & Protection Fund – GAI
Company: Global Alternative Investments
Asset Type: Finance
The US Equity Index Income & Protection Fund offered by Global Alternative Investments has a rules-based strategy seeking to opportunistically benefit from perceived mispricing in the equity index options market. Specifically, by exploiting the relationship between shorter-dated and longer-dated contracts, the Fund/Strategy aims to provide ongoing income, as well as leveraged insurance against a potential equity bear market.
Overview
The US Equity Index Income & Protection Fund offered by Global Alternative Investments has a rules-based strategy seeking to opportunistically benefit from perceived mispricing in the equity index options market. Specifically, by exploiting the relationship between shorter-dated and longer-dated contracts, the Fund/Strategy aims to provide ongoing income, as well as leveraged insurance against a potential equity bear market.
Minimum Expected Returns of 23% per annum (gross basis).
Fund Strategy
- Each Friday, generate income by selling short-term put spread on US Equity Indexes (e.g., S&P 500) and utilize proceeds to purchase intermediate-term puts to benefit from sharp market declines
- Results show that the strategy should yield positive returns during quarters when US Equity Indexes rise, while potentially producing triple-digit gains during periods with sharp declines – all while initially investing only 20% of invested capital
- The three tested periods that follow reflect all types of markets anticipated over the longer term. Quarterly profits range from 5.3% – 94.5% of invested capital, or 25% – 470% of deployed capital, respectively (fund only invests 20%1 of its market value)
- Active management of the Strategy’s formula is determined by preset rules (i.e. – triggers)
Fund Investment Thesis
- The Manager believes that global equities are at major highs, viewing 2000 as having marked the summit of equities’ “real” inflation-adjusted peaks, in financial and economic terms. Consistent with peaking equity markets, volatility premiums were at historic lows at the beginning of 2018
- The manipulation of global asset markets via currency printing and interest rate suppression has created unsustainable, artificially inflated equity valuations
- Minimum expected returns: 23% per annum (gross basis)
Essentials
Strategy Overview – Key Factors (when managing the fund on an ongoing basis, the following factors are taken into account)
- Fundamental
- Artificial and untenable currency printing
- Artificial and untenable interest rates
- Market manipulation (i.e., suppressed, inflated)
- Valuation
- Historically unfavorable price-to-market value
- Unfavorable price earning ratio versus historical data and/or growth projections
- Historically unfavorable price to cash flow
- Technical
- Resistance levels as it relates to discounted fundamentals
- Trend reversal, moving averages, wave theory, and volumes confirming quantitative conclusions
- Relative performance to international markets or sectors
Strategy Overview – Key Inputs
In a mature equity bull market, sell a vertical put spread to generate premium income on a short-term basis in order to fund long-term insurance in anticipation of a market correction and eventual bear market
- S&P 500 / Dow Jones indexes
- Price levels
- 1-week price movements
- 3-month time horizon
- VIX
- Level verified per rules-based Strategy to determine the timing of option combination’s reestablishment
- Options
- Short 1-week ATM (at-the-money) put options on S&P or Dow
- Long 90-day put options on S&P or Dow
- Buy/sell ratios between the above two will be set at three-for-one long 3x as many 90-day puts for each short 1-week put
- Add long 1-week 50 or 500 points OTM (out of the money) put options on S&P or Dow, respectively (hedging against weekly declines)
The success of the formula is tied to the rules upon which the strategy’s active management is based; taken together, the three tested periods aim to reflect all types of markets anticipated through a secular bear market.
Founder and Chief Investment Officer – Sid Klein
Mr. Klein has 39 years of experience, including extensive expertise in precious metals, equity, and currency markets, as well as advanced knowledge of option pricing theory.
- Competitive Advantage
- Aptitude for collecting and evaluating macroeconomic and financial data pertaining to US, Asian, and European equity markets, currencies, and precious metals
- Ability to generate efficient investment strategies that seek to benefit from premium mispricing, including analysis of volatility premium inefficiencies to hone favored opportunities
- Capacity to employ heightened leverage and tailor the investment strategy to smooth and limit investor portfolio volatility
- Field of Expertise
- Superior track record of issuing price forecasts and market calls across multiple asset classes and markets
- Mr. Klein’s macro skills are comprehensive and used in conjunction with demanding criteria in volatility premium analysis and portfolio construction of actively managed, efficient option spread and combination strategies
- Applies fundamental, valuation, quantitative, and highly sophisticated technical analyses to equity markets in the US, Asia, and Europe, including the precious metals and the major currencies
- Seasoned experience to deal with market scenarios that have no historical precedents from which to draw
- Extensive Experience
- Investment advisor 1982-2000; US equities, Asia, and precious metals focus since 1988
- Specialized, in-depth derivative skills
- On-ground Japanese, Asian research
- Written commentary since 1988
Mr. Sid Klein has forecasted several major market turning points within a 48-hour window
- Key Market Forecasts
- Dow 2000 peak
- Dow 2002 low
- August 2003 Nikkei bottom
- January 2008 Dow peak confirmation
- December 2008 Precious Metals bottom
- Dow 2009 low
- KeyPress Recognition
- Barron’s
- Globe and Mail
- CNBC
- Financial Times
- Individual Investor
- Nikkei Net
Disclaimer
This is a test the waters page. Please register your interest via the button included on this page to receive additional information.